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Tigre vs Club Nacional

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Sudamericana. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Club Nacional have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Tigre have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.75. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.94, favoring Club Nacional. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tigre
39%
Draws
31%
Club Nacional
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Nacional have won more games recently than Tigre.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Club Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tigre Clean Sheet 20%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigre Club Nacional
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 31 / 100
Club Nacional 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigre Club Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigre found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Club Nacional let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Tigre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Club Nacional has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tigre VS Club Nacional
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre

(Home)
12 Jul
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 0
Tigre
29 May
Tigre
2 : 0
Alianza Atl.
20 May
America De Cali
1 : 1
Tigre
07 May
Macara
2 : 2
Tigre
03 May
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Tigre
Page 1 of 6

Club Nacional

(Away)
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
27 May
Club Nacional
1 : 0
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors-
O Higgins-
TBD-
Recoleta-
Bolivar-
Gremio-
TBD-
Sao Paulo-
Santa Fe-
Caracas-
TBD-
River Plate-
Ind. Medellin-
Vasco-
TBD-
Olimpia Asuncion-
Sporting Cristal-
Bragantino-
TBD-
Atletico-MG-
Universidad Central-
Santos-
TBD-
Macara-
Club Nacional-
Tigre-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Lanus-
Cienciano-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
1/8-finals
TBD-
Recoleta-
TBD-
Sao Paulo-
TBD-
River Plate-
TBD-
Olimpia Asuncion-
TBD-
Atletico-MG-
TBD-
Macara-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-