Sport Picks
Tigre vs Club Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gomez M.
31'
31'
Silvera M.
Assist: Veron T.
51'
51'
Rodriguez L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Club Nacional have won more games recently than Tigre.
- Win probability leans Club Nacional's way, sitting at 90%.
- Club Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Club Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tigre Clean Sheet 18%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigre | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs Club Nacional
1:2
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Club Nacional vs Tigre
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigre Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Club Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silvera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tigre 10 / 100
Club Nacional 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tigre Club Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigre found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Club Nacional let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Tigre remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tigre VS Club Nacional
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tigre
(Home) 04 Oct
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1 Tigre
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1 Rosario Central
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0 Barracas Central
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1 Rosario Central
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0 Barracas Central
24 Aug
Tigre
2 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
12 Aug
Tigre
0 : 1 Montevideo City
08 Aug
Tigre
1 : 0 River Plate
Page 1 of 3
Club Nacional
(Away) 05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2 Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2 Club Nacional
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
03 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
2 : 3 Club Nacional
30 Aug
Penarol
0 : 1 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
