Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires

Tigre

0 - 1

Macara

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Ayala M.

37'

Etchebarne S.

54'

Paz F.

Assist: Miranda M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Tigre

30%

Draws

37%

Macara

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Tigre haven't matched Macara's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Tigre taking it.
Macara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Macara, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Tigre Clean Sheet 18%

Macara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tigre	Macara
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	7	13
Draws	12	7
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	0.97	1.32
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Macara vs Tigre

2:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Tigre vs Macara

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Paz F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 41 / 100

Macara 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tigre Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigre's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Macara conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Tigre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigre VS Macara

0.75 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

38% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre

(Home)

24 Aug

Tigre

2 : 1

Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)

20 Aug

Montevideo City

2 : 1

Tigre

15 Aug

Aldosivi

0 : 0

Tigre

12 Aug

Tigre

0 : 1

Montevideo City

08 Aug

Tigre

1 : 0

River Plate

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Macara

(Away)

20 Aug

Macara

0 : 0

Santos

18 Aug

Macara

1 : 1

U. Catolica

13 Aug

Santos

2 : 1

Macara

09 Aug

Barcelona SC

1 : 2

Macara

02 Aug

Macara

2 : 1

Guayaquil City

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