Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigres de Alica vs Jaguares De Chiapas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres de Alica host Jaguares De Chiapas in the Primera Premier. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Tigres de Alica have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Jaguares De Chiapas's 1.45 scored and 1.38 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Tigres de Alica. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tigres de Alica
30%
Draws
43%
Jaguares De Chiapas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaguares De Chiapas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tigres de Alica a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica Jaguares De Chiapas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 36 / 100
Jaguares De Chiapas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica Jaguares De Chiapas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Jaguares De Chiapas let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Tigres de Alica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Jaguares De Chiapas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
24 Oct
Deportiva Venados
3 : 1
Tigres de Alica
17 Oct
Tigres de Alica
4 : 0
Reboceros de La Piedad
10 Oct
Cordobes FC
1 : 0
Tigres de Alica
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Purepechas
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Jaguares De Chiapas

(Away)
25 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
3 : 2
Reboceros de La Piedad
17 Oct
Pioneros
0 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
29 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 1
Racing de Veracruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 8 8 0 0 20:5 25
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 8 5 0 3 14:13 15
3 Tigres de Alica 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
4 Zacatepec 8 3 2 3 8:9 12
5 Lobos ULMX 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
6 Los Cabos United 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
7 Cordobes FC 8 2 1 5 6:11 7
8 Purepechas 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 7 0 2 5 4:9 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 8 5 3 0 19:7 20
2 Pioneros 8 5 2 1 18:7 18
3 Celaya 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
5 Deportiva Venados 8 3 2 3 17:15 12
6 Chapulineros 8 3 2 3 11:15 11
7 Montaneses 9 3 1 5 12:18 9
8 Tapachula 8 2 0 6 8:20 6
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)