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Tigres de Alica vs Los Cabos United

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Tigres de Alica Logo

Tigres de Alica

3 - 2
FT
Los Cabos United Logo

Los Cabos United

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Loera K.
34' Event
Cerna E.
45' Event
Loera K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tigres de Alica and Los Cabos United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tigres de Alica
20%
Draws
42%
Los Cabos United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Cabos United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres de Alica come out ahead of Los Cabos United on wins alone.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tigres de Alica have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 20%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica Los Cabos United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Premier
Los Cabos United vs Tigres de Alica
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tigres de Alica
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Los Cabos United
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Los Cabos United
3:2
Oct 17, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tigres de Alica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerna E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arana J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Los Cabos United Compare

Top Goalscorer Loera K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 31 / 100
Los Cabos United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica Los Cabos United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Los Cabos United let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tigres de Alica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Los Cabos United
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6

Los Cabos United

(Away)
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)