Sport Picks
Tigres de Alica vs Tritones Vallarta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Primera Premier 
Match Events
21'
21'
Bass A.
30'
30'
Salazar J.
45'
45'
Adrianzen C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres de Alica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tigres de Alica lately — more wins on the board than Tritones Vallarta.
- Win probability leans Tigres de Alica's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Tritones Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Primera Premier
Tigres de Alica vs Tritones Vallarta
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Tritones Vallarta
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tigres de Alica
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Tritones Vallarta
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tigres de Alica
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigres de Alica Compare
Top Goalscorer Salazar J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Tritones Vallarta Compare
Top Goalscorer Bass A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tigres de Alica 77 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tigres de Alica Tritones Vallarta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tigres de Alica scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Tritones Vallarta let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tigres de Alica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tigres de Alica VS Tritones Vallarta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tigres de Alica
(Home) 10 Oct
Cordobes FC
1 : 0 Tigres de Alica
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0 Purepechas
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1 Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0 Purepechas
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Lobos ULMX
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1 Zacatepec
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 4
Tritones Vallarta
(Away) 11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Tigres de Alica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Zacatepec | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Los Cabos United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Cordobes FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Tritones Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 9 | Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pioneros | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Racing de Veracruz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 7 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 8 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 9 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
