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Tigres de Alica vs Zacatepec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Talavera J.
34' Event
Talavera J.
53' Event
Choreno D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Tigres de Alica and Zacatepec finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tigres de Alica
30%
Draws
39%
Zacatepec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zacatepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tigres de Alica taking it.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 18%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica Zacatepec
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 12
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.77 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera Premier
Tigres de Alica vs Zacatepec
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Talavera J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salazar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Zacatepec Compare

Top Goalscorer Choreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 41 / 100
Zacatepec 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica Zacatepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigres de Alica scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tigres de Alica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zacatepec has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Zacatepec
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Purepechas
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

Zacatepec

(Away)
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
26 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 1
Zacatepec
19 Sept
Zacatepec
1 : 0
Purepechas
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 5 4 0 1 10:6 11
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)