Sport Picks
Tigres Futbol Club vs Atl. Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
30'
30'
Rodriguez N.
37'
37'
Morelos A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Tigres Futbol Club haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tigres Futbol Club's way, sitting at 40%.
- Atl. Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atl. Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 18%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigres Futbol Club | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2026 Copa Colombia
Tigres Futbol Club vs Atl. Nacional
0:2
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Nov 13, 2017 Primera A
Tigres Futbol Club vs Atl. Nacional
1:0
May 12, 2017 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigres Futbol Club Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morelos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tigres Futbol Club 40 / 100
Atl. Nacional 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tigres Futbol Club Atl. Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tigres Futbol Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigres Futbol Club went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Tigres Futbol Club found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Tigres Futbol Club VS Atl. Nacional
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tigres Futbol Club
(Home) 08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1 Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0 Bogota
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1 Real Santander
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0 Bogota
24 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Union Magdalena
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1 Envigado
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Nacional
(Away) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
10 Aug
America De Cali
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 3
Union Magdalena 1
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1
