Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigres Futbol Club vs Orsomarso

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Girado S.
34'
Girado S.
53'
Mejia B.

AI Match Summary

Orsomarso in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsomarso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tigres Futbol Club
44%
Draws
20%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tigres Futbol Club at 0.75 per game, Orsomarso at 0.5.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 26%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Futbol Club Orsomarso
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Orsomarso
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Orsomarso
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:1
Aug 12, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Orsomarso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Girado S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Futbol Club 38 / 100
Orsomarso 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Futbol Club Orsomarso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres Futbol Club scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Orsomarso conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Tigres Futbol Club went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres Futbol Club VS Orsomarso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres Futbol Club

(Home)
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
10 May
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Quindio
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Orsomarso

(Away)
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Barranquilla
20 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Orsomarso
16 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
12 May
Leones
2 : 0
Orsomarso
09 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1
Cucuta
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)