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Tigres Futbol Club vs Real Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Guzman S.
46'
Sub
Segura A. In: Guillen Sanchez J. D.
Out: Segura A.
61'
Sub
Frigerio M. In: Aragon O.
Out: Frigerio M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Tigres Futbol Club and Real Santander finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tigres Futbol Club
35%
Draws
23%
Real Santander
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tigres Futbol Club a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 68%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Futbol Club Real Santander
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Real Santander
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Real Santander
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:0
Aug 4, 2024 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Real Santander
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenas Pico S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Futbol Club 68 / 100
Real Santander 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Futbol Club Real Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Futbol Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Santander let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Tigres Futbol Club has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tigres Futbol Club's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tigres Futbol Club VS Real Santander
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres Futbol Club

(Home)
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

Real Santander

(Away)
09 Oct
Real Cundinamarca
0 : 1
Real Santander
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 12 5 3 4 17:17 18
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Bogota 12 3 4 5 9:13 13
12 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
13 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)