Sport Picks

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Tigres UANL U20 vs Toluca U20

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U20
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Prieto L.

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL U20 in this Liga MX U20 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tigres UANL U20
39%
Draws
31%
Toluca U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Toluca U20 have won more games recently than Tigres UANL U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Toluca U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tigres UANL U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tigres UANL U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Toluca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL U20 Toluca U20
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga MX U20
Toluca U20 vs Tigres UANL U20
2:1
May 4, 2023 Liga MX U20
Tigres UANL U20 vs Toluca U20
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Liga MX U20
Toluca U20 vs Tigres UANL U20
2:1
Sep 7, 2022 Liga MX U20
Tigres UANL U20 vs Toluca U20
1:0
Apr 27, 2022 Liga MX U20
Tigres UANL U20 vs Toluca U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Toluca U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL U20 30 / 100
Toluca U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL U20 Toluca U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL U20's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Toluca U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tigres UANL U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL U20 VS Toluca U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL U20

(Home)
07 May
Toluca U20
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U20
04 May
Tigres UANL U20
1 : 0
Toluca U20
30 Apr
Club Leon U20
2 : 3
Tigres UANL U20
20 Apr
Tigres UANL U20
1 : 2
Puebla U20
16 Apr
Queretaro U20
2 : 3
Tigres UANL U20
Page 1 of 7

Toluca U20

(Away)
20 May
Club America U20
1 : 0
Toluca U20
17 May
Toluca U20
2 : 0
Club America U20
13 May
Guadalajara Chivas U20
1 : 1
Toluca U20
10 May
Toluca U20
3 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U20
07 May
Toluca U20
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America U203
Queretaro U201
Atlas U206
Puebla U203
Guadalajara Chivas U206
Santos Laguna U205
Toluca U202
Tigres UANL U202
Semi-finals
Club America U204
Atlas U203
Guadalajara Chivas U203
Toluca U204
Final
Club America U201
Toluca U202