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Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gorriaran F.
Assist: Joaquim
13'
Araujo C.
39' Event
Llorente R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Atletico San Luis finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tigres UANL
30%
Draws
42%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres UANL come out ahead of Atletico San Luis on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tigres UANL taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
2:2
Jan 12, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL
1:3
Dec 2, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorriaran F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez Guevara D. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atletico San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Llorente R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 36 / 100
Atletico San Luis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Tigres UANL found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tigres UANL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL VS Atletico San Luis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7

Atletico San Luis

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)