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Tigres UANL vs Club Tijuana

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Universitario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL play Club Tijuana in the Liga MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tigres UANL averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Club Tijuana averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Tigres UANL won 3, Club Tijuana won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.91 for Tigres UANL and 1.21 for Club Tijuana. This points to a Tigres UANL double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tigres UANL
19%
Draws
37%
Club Tijuana
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres UANL picked up more points recently compared to Club Tijuana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.91 vs 1.21 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 20%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Club Tijuana
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Tijuana
5:0
Nov 27, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Tijuana
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Tijuana
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunetta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Club Tijuana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 44 / 100
Club Tijuana 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Club Tijuana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tigres UANL or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tigres UANL attacking → ← attacking Club Tijuana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Club Tijuana let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tigres UANL went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Club Tijuana lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 41
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.57