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Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Tigres UANL at 1.34 goals for, 1.14 against; Cruz Azul at 1.87 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Cruz Azul slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Cruz Azul. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tigres UANL
35%
Draws
34%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul come out ahead of Tigres UANL on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Cruz Azul taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 16%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
1:1
May 2, 2025 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 23 / 100
Cruz Azul 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cruz Azul conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Tigres UANL's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tigres UANL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL VS Cruz Azul
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
25 Oct
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
21 Oct
Tigres UANL
0 : 2
Club Leon
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul

(Away)
22 Oct
Pachuca
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
18 Oct
Cruz Azul
5 : 0
Juarez
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 12 8 3 1 32:16 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
3 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
4 Cruz Azul 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
5 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
6 Atlas 13 6 3 4 21:23 21
7 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
8 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
9 Santos Laguna 13 6 1 6 19:16 19
10 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
11 Club Tijuana 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Puebla 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
14 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
15 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
16 Pachuca 13 3 4 6 20:18 13
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)