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Stadium Background

Tigres UANL vs Real Salt Lake - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup America First Field, Sandy, UT
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Brunetta J.
Assist: Aguirre R.
16' Event
Ruiz P.
Assist: Guilavogui M.
50'
Garza J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tigres UANL
20%
Draws
22%
Real Salt Lake
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tigres UANL lately — more wins on the board than Real Salt Lake.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Tigres UANL taking it.
  • Tigres UANL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tigres UANL, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tigres UANL have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 20%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Real Salt Lake
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Leagues Cup
Tigres UANL vs Real Salt Lake
2:1
Jul 25, 2019 Leagues Cup
Real Salt Lake vs Tigres UANL
0:1
Mar 3, 2016 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Real Salt Lake vs Tigres UANL
1:1
Feb 25, 2016 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Tigres UANL vs Real Salt Lake
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunetta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 58 / 100
Real Salt Lake 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Salt Lake conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Tigres UANL scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tigres UANL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL VS Real Salt Lake
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
Page 1 of 6

Real Salt Lake

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)