Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Universitario
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Hermoso J.
52'
Lemos S.
55'
Lemos S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Tigres UANL W and Cruz Azul W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tigres UANL W
30%
Draws
34%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres UANL W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tigres UANL W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 13%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Nov 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
2:2
Feb 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermoso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ordonez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackwood D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL W 35 / 100
Cruz Azul W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL W Cruz Azul W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigres UANL W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Cruz Azul W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Tigres UANL W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL W VS Cruz Azul W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tigres UANL W1
Juarez W0
Pachuca W2
Cruz Azul W6
Club America W6
Monterrey W1
Toluca W2
Guadalajara Chivas W4
Semi-finals
Tigres UANL W3
Cruz Azul W2
Club America W4
Guadalajara Chivas W0
Final
Tigres UANL W4
Club America W3