Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Universitario
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ordonez D.
13'
Mendoza D.
19'
Gutierrez I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Tigres UANL W and Cruz Azul W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tigres UANL W
30%
Draws
34%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres UANL W come out ahead of Cruz Azul W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tigres UANL W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 13%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Nov 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
2:2
Feb 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Watson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abam M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomeli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL W 35 / 100
Cruz Azul W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL W Cruz Azul W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Cruz Azul W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Tigres UANL W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL W VS Cruz Azul W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624