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Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Caicedo F. In: Espinoza G.
Out: Caicedo F.
61'
Sub
Peraza C. In: Blanco A.
Out: Peraza C.
65'
Sub
Galvez Luna R. In: Cadena M.
Out: Galvez Luna R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Tigres UANL W and Juarez W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tigres UANL W
15%
Draws
46%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres UANL W come out ahead of Juarez W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 20%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL W Juarez W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 21 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.52 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W
1:0
Feb 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Tigres UANL W
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Tigres UANL W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinoza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Juarez W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL W 31 / 100
Juarez W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL W scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Tigres UANL W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Juarez W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL W VS Juarez W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL W

(Home)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
13 Sept
Club America W
5 : 2
Tigres UANL W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 7

Juarez W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)