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Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Universitario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL W play Juarez W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tigres UANL W averaged 2.32 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Juarez W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Tigres UANL W won 1, Juarez W won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Tigres UANL W and 1.19 for Juarez W. This points to a Tigres UANL W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tigres UANL W
35%
Draws
26%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Tigres UANL W picked up more points recently compared to Juarez W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 20%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL W Juarez W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.32 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Tigres UANL W
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Tigres UANL W
0:0
Mar 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Juarez W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL W 39 / 100
Juarez W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL W Juarez W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tigres UANL W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tigres UANL W attacking → ← attacking Juarez W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Juarez W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

Tigres UANL W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Juarez W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 44
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624