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Tigres UANL W vs Monterrey W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL W host Monterrey W in the Liga MX Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Tigres UANL W at 2.53 goals for, 0.97 against; Monterrey W at 2.61 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Tigres UANL W slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.63, favoring Tigres UANL W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tigres UANL W
15%
Draws
51%
Monterrey W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey W come out ahead of Tigres UANL W on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL W Monterrey W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 19 26
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.53 2.61
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Tigres UANL W
0:3
Sep 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Monterrey W
4:0
Apr 29, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Tigres UANL W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL W 14 / 100
Monterrey W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL W Monterrey W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tigres UANL W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Monterrey W let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL W VS Monterrey W
2.63 Goals Scored 4.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL W

(Home)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
13 Sept
Club America W
5 : 2
Tigres UANL W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey W

(Away)
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)