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Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Reyes M.
Assist: Enciso S.
13' Event
Villalpando M.
Assist: Mayor S.
19' Event
Reyes M.
Assist: Sanchez M.

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tigres UANL W
15%
Draws
0%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tigres UANL W have won more games recently than Puebla W.
  • Tigres UANL W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Tigres UANL W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 68%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL W Puebla W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 2.52 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W
8:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Tigres UANL W
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Tigres UANL W
0:3
Jul 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez D.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Puebla W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL W 95 / 100
Puebla W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL W Puebla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL W scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Puebla W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Puebla W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL W VS Puebla W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL W

(Home)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
13 Sept
Club America W
5 : 2
Tigres UANL W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
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Puebla W

(Away)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)