Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tijarafe vs Atletico Victoria

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tijarafe in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tijarafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tijarafe
15%
Draws
34%
Atletico Victoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tijarafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Victoria lately — more wins on the board than Tijarafe.
  • Tijarafe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tijarafe Atletico Victoria
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Atletico Victoria
0:1
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs Tijarafe
5:0
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Atletico Victoria
1:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs Tijarafe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tijarafe 41 / 100
Atletico Victoria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tijarafe Atletico Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tijarafe's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Victoria has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Atletico Victoria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Victoria
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tijarafe

(Home)
19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0
Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1
Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0
Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3
San Isidro
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Victoria

(Away)
12 May
Atletico Victoria
2 : 1
San Bartolome
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2
Atletico Victoria
01 May
Atletico Victoria
1 : 3
Teror
27 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Atletico Victoria
0 : 2
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)