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Tikves vs Arsimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Tikves Logo

Tikves

1 - 1
FT
Arsimi Logo

Arsimi

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Abdulla X. In: Gafuri A.
Out: Abdulla X.
18'
Camara F.
24' Event
Ramadani B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tikves
15%
Draws
39%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsimi haven't matched Tikves's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tikves's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tikves Clean Sheet 10%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Arsimi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Arsimi
5:1
May 3, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Arsimi
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Tikves
0:5
Oct 24, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Arsimi
3:4
Sep 20, 2023 Macedonian Cup
Arsimi vs Tikves
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadani B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Goni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 83 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Tikves's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arsimi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Tikves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS Arsimi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
15 Aug
Tikves
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
08 Aug
Bashkimi
0 : 5
Tikves
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Tikves
Page 1 of 6

Arsimi

(Away)
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0
Bashkimi
08 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 0
Arsimi
01 Aug
Arsimi
4 : 1
Teteks
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
19 Jul
FK Skopje
2 : 1
Arsimi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)