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Tikves vs Shkupi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lawal T.
26' Event
Bucar L. A.
37' Event
Bucar L. A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Tikves and Shkupi finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tikves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tikves
30%
Draws
0%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tikves come out ahead of Shkupi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tikves a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tikves have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Tikves Clean Sheet 68%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Shkupi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 0
Draws 9 1
Losses 9 28
Goals Scored 2.43 0.28
Goals Conceded 1.63 4.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Shkupi
6:0
Feb 10, 2026 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Tikves
0:6
Sep 17, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Shkupi
1:0
May 11, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Tikves
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Shkupi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucar L. A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lawal T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Shkupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 95 / 100
Shkupi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Shkupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Tikves has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Shkupi registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS Shkupi
2.13 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
06 Oct
Krosu Sport Bitola
0 : 13
Tikves
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
Page 1 of 6

Shkupi

(Away)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
09 Sept
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Shkupi
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
30 Aug
Shkupi
1 : 3
Teteks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)