Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tilikratis Lefkada vs Asteras Stavrou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Tilikratis Lefkada and Asteras Stavrou finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Tilikratis Lefkada
35%
Draws
13%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Tilikratis Lefkada haven't matched Asteras Stavrou's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tilikratis Lefkada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tilikratis Lefkada Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Tilikratis Lefkada
2:2
Jan 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Asteras Stavrou
3:3
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Tilikratis Lefkada
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tilikratis Lefkada 95 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tilikratis Lefkada Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tilikratis Lefkada's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Asteras Stavrou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Tilikratis Lefkada has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tilikratis Lefkada VS Asteras Stavrou
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Home)
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Tilikratis Lefkada
1 : 1
AO Trikala
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
27 Sept
Kifissos
3 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)