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Tiller vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Dybvik N.
47' Event
Ytterland T.
61' Event
Borseth M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Tiller and Aalesund 2 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tiller
6%
Draws
90%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund 2 come out ahead of Tiller on wins alone.
  • Aalesund 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Aalesund 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Aalesund 2
1:4
Jun 1, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Tiller
3:2
Aug 7, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Tiller
3:0
Oct 17, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Tiller
0:0
Aug 8, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Tiller
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Borseth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ytterland T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dybvik N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 10 / 100
Aalesund 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Aalesund 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aalesund 2 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Tiller scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tiller stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiller VS Aalesund 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%