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Tillmitsch vs Hartberg (Am)

Austria Austria

Steiermark 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tillmitsch in this Steiermark 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tillmitsch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tillmitsch
39%
Draws
30%
Hartberg (Am)
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tillmitsch have won more games recently than Hartberg (Am).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 10%
Hartberg (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tillmitsch Hartberg (Am)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 3.13 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Hartberg (Am)
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Steiermark
Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch
5:0
May 30, 2025 Steiermark
Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Hartberg (Am)
0:0
May 3, 2024 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Hartberg (Am)
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tillmitsch 30 / 100
Hartberg (Am) 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tillmitsch Hartberg (Am)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tillmitsch found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Hartberg (Am) let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Tillmitsch stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tillmitsch VS Hartberg (Am)
3.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%