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Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2016
Thu, Dec 15, 2016
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2016 game between Timbauba FC and Afogados da Ingazeira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Timbauba FC
6%
Draws
90%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Timbauba FC haven't matched Afogados da Ingazeira's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Afogados da Ingazeira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Timbauba FC Clean Sheet 20%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timbauba FC Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:2
Dec 11, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Timbauba FC
1:1
Sep 3, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:4
Sep 11, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Timbauba FC
0:1
Aug 10, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timbauba FC 10 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timbauba FC Afogados da Ingazeira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Timbauba FC's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Afogados da Ingazeira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afogados da Ingazeira
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Afogados da Ingazeira3
Centro Limoeirense0
Timbauba FC7
Barreiros FC3
Flamengo Arcoverde2
Ibis Sport Club1
Vera Cruz2
Cabense2
Semi-finals
Afogados da Ingazeira3
Timbauba FC2
Flamengo Arcoverde4
Cabense1
Final
Afogados da Ingazeira1
Flamengo Arcoverde2