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Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2016 game between Timbauba FC and Afogados da Ingazeira finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Timbauba FC
6%
Draws
90%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afogados da Ingazeira come out ahead of Timbauba FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Afogados da Ingazeira a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Timbauba FC Clean Sheet 20%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timbauba FC Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:2
Dec 11, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Timbauba FC
1:1
Sep 3, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:4
Sep 11, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Timbauba FC
0:1
Aug 10, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Timbauba FC vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timbauba FC 10 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timbauba FC Afogados da Ingazeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Timbauba FC found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Afogados da Ingazeira registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afogados da Ingazeira
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Timbauba FC

(Home)
12 Oct
Timbauba FC
0 : 3
Ipojuca
08 Oct
Ferroviario do Cabo
3 : 0
Timbauba FC
05 Oct
Timbauba FC
0 : 3
Atletico PE
29 Sept
Jaguar
3 : 0
Timbauba FC
24 Sept
Timbauba FC
0 : 3
Cabense
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Afogados da Ingazeira

(Away)
22 Feb
Jaguar
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
15 Feb
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Maguary
09 Feb
Nautico
4 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
05 Feb
Decisao
1 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
29 Jan
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Central SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira861118:519
2Flamengo Arcoverde852114:617
3Vera Cruz851217:816
4Barreiros FC843111:715
5Timbauba FC842215:1014
6Centro Limoeirense81436:107
7Cabense81258:215
8Ferroviario do Cabo81165:174
9Ibis Sport Club80265:152
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2016 (Play Offs)