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Timok vs Jagodina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 game between Timok and Jagodina finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Timok
15%
Draws
42%
Jagodina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Very High Confidence
  • Timok haven't matched Jagodina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jagodina a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Timok Clean Sheet 10%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timok Jagodina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 3.63 3.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Jagodina
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timok
1:0
May 15, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Jagodina
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timok
3:1
May 27, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timok
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timok 10 / 100
Jagodina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timok Jagodina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timok scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Timok stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jagodina let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Timok VS Jagodina
3.63 Goals Scored 3.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Timok

(Home)
14 Jun
Timok
2 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
07 Jun
Sloga Leskovac
1 : 4
Timok
30 May
Timok
19 : 0
Rudar 2016
24 May
Rembas
3 : 1
Timok
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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Jagodina

(Away)
12 Jun
Jagodina
13 : 0
Djerdap
07 Jun
Dunav Prahovo
1 : 0
Jagodina
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
24 May
Radnicki Pirot
1 : 5
Jagodina
16 May
Jagodina
4 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
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