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Timok vs Trstenik

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 game between Timok and Trstenik finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Timok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Timok
15%
Draws
40%
Trstenik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Trstenik haven't matched Timok's recent run of results.
  • Timok are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Timok Clean Sheet 13%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timok Trstenik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.59 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Trstenik
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Timok
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Trstenik
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Timok
1:0
Mar 13, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Trstenik
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timok 57 / 100
Trstenik 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timok Trstenik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timok's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Trstenik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Timok stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Timok VS Trstenik
3.75 Goals Scored 2.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Timok

(Home)
19 Sept
Timok
3 : 0
Sindjelic
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Krusevac
2 : 1
Timok
05 Sept
Timok
3 : 1
Rembas
29 Aug
Timok
5 : 0
Timocanin
22 Aug
Pcinja
4 : 4
Timok
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Trstenik

(Away)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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