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Timok vs Trstenik

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East game between Timok and Trstenik finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Timok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Timok
6%
Draws
4%
Trstenik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Timok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Trstenik have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Timok are scoring more at 3.63.
  • Timok are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Timok Clean Sheet 17%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timok Trstenik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 3.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Trstenik
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Timok
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Trstenik
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Timok
1:0
Mar 13, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Trstenik
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timok 84 / 100
Trstenik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timok Trstenik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timok's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Trstenik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Timok stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Timok VS Trstenik
3.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timok

(Home)
14 Jun
Timok
2 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
07 Jun
Sloga Leskovac
1 : 4
Timok
30 May
Timok
19 : 0
Rudar 2016
24 May
Rembas
3 : 1
Timok
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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Trstenik

(Away)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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