Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U20 vs Maldives U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Qafoor A.
40' Event
Bakhito A.
44' Event
Canavaro V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Timor-Leste U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Timor-Leste U20
20%
Draws
46%
Maldives U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maldives U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldives U20 come out ahead of Timor-Leste U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maldives U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Maldives U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Timor-Leste U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Timor-Leste U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Maldives U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U20 Maldives U20
Matches Played 6 21
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.67 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
Timor-Leste U20 vs Maldives U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhito A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canavaro V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Maldives U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U20 20 / 100
Maldives U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U20 Maldives U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldives U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Maldives U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Timor-Leste U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U20 VS Maldives U20
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
2.67 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U20

(Home)
29 Sept
Timor-Leste U20
4 : 1
Maldives U20
27 Sept
Timor-Leste U20
1 : 3
Indonesia U20
25 Sept
Yemen U20
3 : 1
Timor-Leste U20
18 Sept
Hong Kong U20
1 : 2
Timor-Leste U20
16 Sept
Timor-Leste U20
0 : 4
Vietnam U20
Page 1 of 2

Maldives U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Myanmar U20
6 : 0
Maldives U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Maldives U20
2 : 0
Brunei U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Bhutan U20
0 : 0
Maldives U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Vietnam U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Bangladesh U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
4 Guam U20 4 0 2 2 4:16 2
5 Bhutan U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 4 4 0 0 21:1 12
2 Cambodia U20 4 2 1 1 6:9 7
3 Bahrain U20 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
4 Nepal U20 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
5 Chinese Taipei U20 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 United Arab Emirates U20 4 2 1 1 17:5 7
3 Kuwait U20 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Lebanon U20 4 1 0 3 11:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Australia U20 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Afghanistan U20 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Palestine U20 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Macau U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Oman U20 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
3 Tajikistan U20 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 Malaysia U20 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Yemen U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Laos U20 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Mongolia U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 18:1 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:32 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Hong Kong U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Singapore U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams