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Timor-Leste U22 vs Thailand U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Burapha Y.
49' Event
Wandee S.
60' Event
Sanron I.

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games game between Timor-Leste U22 and Thailand U22 finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Timor-Leste U22
6%
Draws
90%
Thailand U22
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thailand U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U22 haven't matched Thailand U22's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Thailand U22's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Timor-Leste U22 Clean Sheet 23%
Thailand U22 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U22 Thailand U22
Matches Played 14 22
Wins 4 12
Draws 0 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U22 vs Thailand U22
1:6
Feb 17, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Thailand U22 vs Timor-Leste U22
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Thailand U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burapha Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Wandee S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U22 10 / 100
Thailand U22 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U22 Thailand U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Timor-Leste U22 scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Thailand U22's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 22 matches.

Timor-Leste U22 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U22 VS Thailand U22
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U22

(Home)
06 Dec
Singapore U22
1 : 3
Timor-Leste U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
07 May
Timor-Leste U22
0 : 3
Indonesia U22
04 May
Timor-Leste U22
3 : 0
Philippines U22
02 May
Myanmar U22
1 : 0
Timor-Leste U22
Page 1 of 3

Thailand U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Thailand U22
1 : 0
Malaysia U22
11 Dec
Thailand U22
3 : 0
Singapore U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand U2222009:16
2Timor-Leste U2221014:73
3Singapore U2220021:60
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2222004:16
2Malaysia U2221014:33
3Laos U2220022:60
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Philippines U2222003:06
2Indonesia U2221013:23
3Myanmar U2220021:50
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams