Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

Timor-Leste U23

5 - 0

Macau U23

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Mouzinho

20'

Bianco R.

60'

Fernandes C. M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Timor-Leste U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Timor-Leste U23

15%

Draws

Macau U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Timor-Leste U23 lately — more wins on the board than Macau U23.
Win probability leans Timor-Leste U23's way, sitting at 90%.
Timor-Leste U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Timor-Leste U23, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
History favors Timor-Leste U23 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 73%

Over 4.5 Goals 33%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Macau U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Timor-Leste U23	Macau U23
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	1
Draws	3	0
Losses	20	29
Goals Scored	1.45	0.8
Goals Conceded	3.06	4.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

Timor-Leste U23 vs Macau U23

5:0

Mar 26, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23

Timor-Leste U23 vs Macau U23

5:3

Jul 23, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23

Timor-Leste U23 vs Macau U23

7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouzinho

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bianco R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Macau U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 95 / 100

Macau U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Timor-Leste U23 Macau U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau U23 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Macau U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Timor-Leste U23 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Macau U23

0.5 Goals Scored 0.17

2.63 Goals Conceded 5.67

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)

09 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

6 : 0

Northern Mariana Islands U23

06 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

0 : 6

Australia U23

03 Sept

China U23

2 : 1

Timor-Leste U23

19 Jul

Timor-Leste U23

0 : 4

Thailand U23

16 Jul

Myanmar U23

4 : 4

Timor-Leste U23

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Macau U23

(Away)

09 Sept

Laos U23

3 : 1

Macau U23

06 Sept

Macau U23

0 : 5

Indonesia U23

03 Sept

South Korea U23

5 : 0

Macau U23

12 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

5 : 0

Macau U23

09 Sept

Macau U23

0 : 3

Kuwait U23

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