Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U23 vs Myanmar U23

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Win N. T.
41' Event
Wai H. P.
52' Event
Mouzinho

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games 2021 game between Timor-Leste U23 and Myanmar U23 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Myanmar U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Timor-Leste U23
35%
Draws
28%
Myanmar U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Myanmar U23 come out ahead of Timor-Leste U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Timor-Leste U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Myanmar U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Myanmar U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Myanmar U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.66
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:4
May 8, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Myanmar U23
2:3
Nov 29, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Myanmar U23
1:3
Mar 22, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
7:0
Dec 9, 2013 Southeast Asian Games
Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouzinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Costa Soares J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Myanmar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Win N. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wai H. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 85 / 100
Myanmar U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Myanmar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Timor-Leste U23 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Myanmar U23 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Timor-Leste U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Myanmar U23
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Myanmar U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
03 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
22 Jul
Thailand U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Myanmar U23 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Philippines U23 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Timor-Leste U23 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
2 Malaysia U23 4 2 2 0 9:6 8
3 Singapore U23 4 1 2 1 5:9 5
4 Cambodia U23 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Laos U23 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)