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Timor-Leste vs Cambodia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Kai Tak Sports Park, Hongkong
Timor-Leste Logo

Timor-Leste

2 - 2
FT
Cambodia Logo

Cambodia

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Pedro J.
19'
Pedro J.
22'
Bong S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Timor-Leste
20%
Draws
70%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambodia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Timor-Leste haven't matched Cambodia's recent run of results.
  • Cambodia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cambodia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 20%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste Cambodia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.87 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Timor-Leste vs Cambodia
2:2
Aug 3, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
3:0
Dec 17, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
2:1
Jun 2, 2022 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
2:1
Oct 12, 2018 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Timor-Leste
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakhito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste 10 / 100
Cambodia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambodia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Cambodia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Timor-Leste stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste VS Cambodia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste

(Home)
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
24 Sept
Myanmar
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 6

Cambodia

(Away)
03 Oct
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Cambodia
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hong Kong 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Laos 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
3 Brunei 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 2 - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambodia 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Myanmar 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Timor-Leste 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - FIFA ASEAN Cup (Division 2 - Play Offs)