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Tiquipaya vs CD Ingenio

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Tiquipaya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tiquipaya
6%
Draws
4%
CD Ingenio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiquipaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tiquipaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tiquipaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiquipaya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ingenio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya CD Ingenio
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 13 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs CD Ingenio
4:1
Oct 11, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Ingenio vs Tiquipaya
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 85 / 100
CD Ingenio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya CD Ingenio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tiquipaya scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

CD Ingenio has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tiquipaya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS CD Ingenio
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
08 Nov
Tiquipaya
1 : 0
1 de Mayo
01 Nov
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
Tiquipaya
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
4 : 1
CD Ingenio
11 Oct
CD Ingenio
3 : 3
Tiquipaya
28 Sept
Universitario de Pando
1 : 5
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

CD Ingenio

(Away)
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
4 : 1
CD Ingenio
11 Oct
CD Ingenio
3 : 3
Tiquipaya
27 Sept
CD Ingenio
0 : 1
Olympic FC
20 Sept
CD Ingenio
2 : 1
San Juan FC
14 Sept
Chaco FC
1 : 1
CD Ingenio
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5