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Tiquipaya vs Pucarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tiquipaya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tiquipaya
20%
Draws
23%
Pucarani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pucarani haven't matched Tiquipaya's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tiquipaya taking it.
  • Tiquipaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiquipaya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 18%
Pucarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya Pucarani
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 1
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pucarani vs Tiquipaya
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Pucarani
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 85 / 100
Pucarani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya Pucarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiquipaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pucarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Tiquipaya scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tiquipaya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS Pucarani
2.25 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
27 Sept
Virginia
1 : 1
Tiquipaya
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
30 Aug
San Martin de Yacuiba
1 : 0
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

Pucarani

(Away)
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0
Pucarani
20 Sept
Pucarani
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1
Universitario de Pando
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams