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Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tiquipaya
15%
Draws
32%
San Martin de Yacuiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tiquipaya lately — more wins on the board than San Martin de Yacuiba.
  • Model gives Tiquipaya a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Tiquipaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiquipaya, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Martin de Yacuiba here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 20%
San Martin de Yacuiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya San Martin de Yacuiba
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 0
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.97 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya
4:0
Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba
5:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 85 / 100
San Martin de Yacuiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya San Martin de Yacuiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiquipaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Tiquipaya scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

San Martin de Yacuiba let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Recent resilience: Tiquipaya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS San Martin de Yacuiba
2.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
27 Sept
Virginia
1 : 1
Tiquipaya
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
30 Aug
San Martin de Yacuiba
1 : 0
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

San Martin de Yacuiba

(Away)
27 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 1
Universitario Beni
20 Sept
Virginia
1 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
06 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
0 : 1
Virginia
30 Aug
San Martin de Yacuiba
1 : 0
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)