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Tiradentes PA vs Sport Belem

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Tiradentes PA host Sport Belem in the Paraense A3. Sport Belem are expected to control this from the start. Tiradentes PA have averaged 1.29 scored and 3.14 conceded recently, against Sport Belem's 0.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Tiradentes PA have won 0 to Sport Belem's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2025, ending 6:2. Model xG sits at 1.33 vs 1.89, favoring Sport Belem. Sport Belem in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tiradentes PA
6%
Draws
90%
Sport Belem
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sport Belem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Belem has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tiradentes PA.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sport Belem.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paraense A3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tiradentes PA Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiradentes PA Sport Belem
Matches Played 7 14
Wins 1 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.29 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.14 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs Tiradentes PA
6:2
Oct 1, 2025 Paraense A3
Tiradentes PA vs Sport Belem
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiradentes PA 10 / 100
Sport Belem 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiradentes PA Sport Belem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiradentes PA scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Sport Belem let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Tiradentes PA went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sport Belem lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiradentes PA VS Sport Belem
1.29 Goals Scored 0.63
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 50%
86% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belenense43016:39
2Paraense SC42027:66
3Pedreira41036:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos PA42206:28
2Venus42117:37
3CA Vila Rica40131:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Belem440013:412
2Tesla42028:76
3Tiradentes PA40043:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paraense44008:112
2Gaviao41123:54
3Altamira40132:71