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Tiradentes PA W vs Paysandu PA W

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tiradentes PA W play Paysandu PA W in the Paraense Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tiradentes PA W averaged 3.21 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Paysandu PA W averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Tiradentes PA W won 2, Paysandu PA W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 31, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Tiradentes PA W and 1.06 for Paysandu PA W. This points to a Tiradentes PA W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tiradentes PA W
20%
Draws
29%
Paysandu PA W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tiradentes PA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Tiradentes PA W picked up more points recently compared to Paysandu PA W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Tiradentes PA W Clean Sheet 22%
Paysandu PA W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiradentes PA W Paysandu PA W
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 3.21 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 Paraense Women
Tiradentes PA W vs Paysandu PA W
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Paraense Women
Tiradentes PA W vs Paysandu PA W
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Paraense Women
Paysandu PA W vs Tiradentes PA W
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Paraense Women
Tiradentes PA W vs Paysandu PA W
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Paraense Women
Tiradentes PA W vs Paysandu PA W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiradentes PA W 50 / 100
Paysandu PA W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiradentes PA W Paysandu PA W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tiradentes PA W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tiradentes PA W attacking → ← attacking Paysandu PA W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiradentes PA W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Paysandu PA W let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tiradentes PA W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paysandu PA W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 41
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00