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Tirol vs Grazer AK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirol host Grazer AK in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Grazer AK have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Tirol have conceded 1.64 and scored 2.11. Head-to-head, Tirol have won 1 to Grazer AK's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Grazer AK. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tirol
30%
Draws
37%
Grazer AK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grazer AK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Tirol haven't matched Grazer AK's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tirol Clean Sheet 15%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol Grazer AK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.11 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Tirol
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Grazer AK
1:5
Mar 8, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Grazer AK
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Tirol
1:1
May 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Grazer AK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 30 / 100
Grazer AK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol Grazer AK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tirol's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Grazer AK let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Tirol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS Grazer AK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
24 Sept
FC Liefering
0 : 1
Tirol
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
05 Sept
SV Leithaprodersdorf
0 : 4
Tirol
Page 1 of 6

Grazer AK

(Away)
30 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
1 : 5
Grazer AK
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
12 Sept
Altach
1 : 2
Grazer AK
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)