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Tirsense vs AD Limianos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Moreira V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Tirsense and AD Limianos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
45%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Limianos come out ahead of Tirsense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense AD Limianos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Tirsense
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs AD Limianos
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Tirsense
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs AD Limianos
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Tirsense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 41 / 100
AD Limianos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AD Limianos has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tirsense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS AD Limianos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
Page 1 of 6

AD Limianos

(Away)
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
18 Apr
SC Vianense
4 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)