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Tirsense vs Vilaverdense FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirsense play Vilaverdense FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tirsense averaged 1 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Vilaverdense FC averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Tirsense won 1, Vilaverdense FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Tirsense and 0.38 for Vilaverdense FC. This points to a Tirsense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tirsense
6%
Draws
4%
Vilaverdense FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tirsense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vilaverdense FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tirsense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group A provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Vilaverdense FC
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Tirsense
2:0
Apr 14, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Vilaverdense FC vs Tirsense
1:1
Dec 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Manga F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 95 / 100
Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Vilaverdense FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vilaverdense FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Tirsense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vilaverdense FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Vilaverdense FC
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317