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Tirsense vs Vilaverdense FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
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Match Events

53' Event
Manga F.
89'
Mane S.
89'
Mane S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Tirsense and Vilaverdense FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
21%
Vilaverdense FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tirsense come out ahead of Vilaverdense FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tirsense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.14 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Vilaverdense FC
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilaverdense FC vs Tirsense
2:0
Apr 14, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Vilaverdense FC vs Tirsense
1:1
Dec 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs Vilaverdense FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Manga F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.18
Avg xA / game 0.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 95 / 100
Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Vilaverdense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tirsense scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vilaverdense FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Tirsense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Vilaverdense FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.14
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
25% Over 1.5 57%
0% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

Vilaverdense FC

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
22 Mar
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 2
Brito
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)