Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirsense vs Vinhais

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, Santo Tirso
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Guimaraes B.
9' Event
Silva P.
77' Event
Martins J.

AI Match Summary

Tirsense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
0%
Vinhais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tirsense lately — more wins on the board than Vinhais.
  • Model gives Tirsense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Vinhais
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 11 0
Draws 11 0
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Vinhais
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guimaraes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Vinhais Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 95 / 100
Vinhais 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Vinhais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vinhais conceded in 100% of 10 recent games.

Vinhais's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tirsense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Vinhais
1 Goals Scored 0.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.8
38% Over 1.5 80%
13% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

Vinhais

(Away)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Vinhais
0 : 1
Maria de Fonte
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
6 AD Limianos 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)