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Tishreen vs Horriya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Naeim S.
80' Event
Mustafa M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Tishreen and Horriya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tishreen
20%
Draws
29%
Horriya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tishreen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Horriya have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Tishreen are scoring more at 1.31.
  • Win probability leans Tishreen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tishreen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tishreen Clean Sheet 68%
Horriya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tishreen Horriya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Tishreen vs Horriya
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Tishreen
0:2
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Horriya vs Tishreen
1:2
Oct 27, 2023 Premier League
Tishreen vs Horriya
2:1
Feb 22, 2021 Premier League
Horriya vs Tishreen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tishreen Compare

Top Goalscorer Naeim S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Horriya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tishreen 68 / 100
Horriya 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tishreen Horriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tishreen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tishreen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Horriya let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tishreen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tishreen VS Horriya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tishreen

(Home)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
27 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Tishreen
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Al Shouleh
1 : 0
Tishreen
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

Horriya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
14 Jun
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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