Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Stephens T.
72'
72'
Dunbar E.
82'
82'
Wright A.
AI Match Summary
Evesham in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Evesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tiverton haven't matched Evesham's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Evesham's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%
Evesham Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tiverton | Evesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 24 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Evesham
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Tiverton
5:0
Feb 13, 2011 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Tiverton
3:1
Aug 24, 2010 Southern Premier League
Tiverton vs Evesham
1:0
Feb 27, 2010 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Tiverton
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tiverton Compare
Top Goalscorer Stephens T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Evesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Dunbar E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wright A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tiverton 10 / 100
Evesham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tiverton Evesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Evesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Evesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Tiverton scored in 52% of their last 31 games.
Tiverton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tiverton VS Evesham
1 Goals Scored 1
3.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tiverton
(Home) 18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0 Brixham
25 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 3 Farnham
21 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3 Gosport Borough
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
14 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 6 Wimborne
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0 Brixham
25 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 3 Farnham
21 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3 Gosport Borough
14 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 6 Wimborne
06 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 3
Evesham
(Away) 15 Aug
Evesham
3 : 0 Chichester City
11 Aug
Evesham
0 : 4 Frome Town
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1 Bishops Cleeve
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
25 Apr
Taunton Town
0 : 0 Evesham
06 Apr
Yate
3 : 0 Evesham
31 Mar
Tiverton
1 : 2 Evesham
28 Mar
Havant & Waterlooville
6 : 1 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
