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Tiverton vs Farnham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Taylor B.
17' Event
Murphy R.
90' Event
Evans S.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Tiverton and Farnham finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tiverton
20%
Draws
38%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tiverton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Farnham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tiverton a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 20%
Farnham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiverton Farnham
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Farnham
0:3
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Farnham vs Tiverton
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiverton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.69

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murphy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiverton 49 / 100
Farnham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiverton Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiverton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Farnham has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Tiverton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tiverton scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiverton VS Farnham
1.4 Goals Scored 1.25
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiverton

(Home)
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1
Sholing
12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0
Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2
Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0
Brixham
Page 1 of 7

Farnham

(Away)
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2
Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Farnham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)