Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Tivoli Calcio and Fossombrone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tivoli Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Fossombrone come out ahead of Tivoli Calcio on wins alone.
- Tivoli Calcio are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tivoli Calcio | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 40 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tivoli Calcio Compare
Fossombrone Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tivoli Calcio scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Fossombrone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 40 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Fossombrone has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tivoli Calcio
(Home)Fossombrone
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:29 | 70 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 50:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 57:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Roma City | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 50 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57:50 | 49 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 48 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 10 | Termoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Fossombrone | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 28:28 | 41 |
| 12 | AS Sora | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 42:60 | 41 |
| 14 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 15 | United Riccione | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 48:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Fano | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35:49 | 32 |
| 17 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | 29 |
| 18 | Matese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:51 | 26 |