Sport Picks

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Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Edward Seaga Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Pennycooke O.
Own Goal
90' Event
Graham M.

AI Match Summary

Tivoli in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tivoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tivoli
44%
Draws
20%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Dunbeholden lately — more wins on the board than Tivoli.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tivoli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 13%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tivoli FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Tivoli
1:0
Mar 19, 2025 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Tivoli
2:4
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs FC Dunbeholden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tivoli 35 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tivoli FC Dunbeholden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Dunbeholden conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: FC Dunbeholden registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tivoli's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tivoli VS FC Dunbeholden
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tivoli

(Home)
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2
Cavalier
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0
Tivoli
22 Apr
Montego Bay
5 : 1
Tivoli
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FC Dunbeholden

(Away)
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 5
Mount Pleasant
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Tivoli
2 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)