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Tivoli vs Vere United

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2024/2025 Edward Seaga Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Williams J.
8' Event
Garnett T.
14' Event
Magee T.

AI Match Summary

Tivoli in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tivoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tivoli
17%
Draws
13%
Vere United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tivoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tivoli lately — more wins on the board than Vere United.
  • Model gives Tivoli a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 20%
Vere United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tivoli Vere United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Vere United vs Tivoli
1:2
Feb 20, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Vere United
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Premier League
Vere United vs Tivoli
2:2
Jan 29, 2024 Premier League
Vere United vs Tivoli
1:2
Nov 6, 2023 Premier League
Tivoli vs Vere United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garnett T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vere United Compare

Top Goalscorer Magee T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tivoli 67 / 100
Vere United 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tivoli Vere United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vere United let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Vere United's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tivoli scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Tivoli VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant39296494:2193
2Arnett Gardens392210774:3976
3Montego Bay392112662:2875
4Cavalier391815665:4369
5Portmore391812946:2566
6Tivoli3915131161:4858
7Waterhouse3916101344:4258
8Racing United3913121443:5051
9Chapelton399102036:5937
10FC Dunbeholden391072234:6737
11Harbour View39992138:5836
12Molynes United39982240:7635
13Humble Lions397122034:6533
14Vere United39582632:8223